Market Analysis: Has the Bear Market Returned?

Market Review: 2011 Mid Year Review
June 28, 2011
Market Analysis: Strike Two Against the Bull Market that Started in March of 2009
September 9, 2011
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The equity markets are not acting favorably to the debt ceiling being raised.  As a baseball fanatic, I see this as Strike 1 against the bull market that started in March 2009.  The 200-day moving average has been penetrated.  This also happened in 2001 and in 2007.  The next three months are very important.  We should see a rally attempt by the end of August to early September.  Maybe the FED comes to the rescue like last August and announces another “Quantitative Easing”.  If the rally is not strong, that is Strike 2.  More later if Strike 3 happens.

Buy and hold strategies do not work in these markets.  Mutual funds are not a good solution.  Individual stocks are the best way to manage risk, and some are looking favorable with this drop; have a discipline!!  Gold continues to “shine”.  Too much debt is not good; learn lessons from the past.  Is it time we finally face this as a country?  The next few months are very important to keep the bull alive.  The bear may be coming out of hibernation!  We need to have a sustainable rally and soon!